Monday, January 8, 2018

Squaring the Super Bowl

Some people are already collecting dollars to get a Super Bowl square and some already have their numbers.

For the few that don't understand, There is a 10 x 10 grid where people pay money to sign their name on one of the squares on it. Once all money is collected, numbers from 0-9 are randomly assigned one to each column and row and one team is assigned to the column and the other to the row. Winners are determined by the last digit of the teams' scores during certain points of the game and always based on the final score.

Generally, the draw of the numbers always produces bickering among those who have numbers that are less likely to appear in football than others since teams generally score 3 or 7 points at a time.

In the 51 previous games, there are 102 finishing numbers. Here is the layout:

 

I was surprised by how few final scores were a 3 and double checked to confirm that is the case.

There have only been three times when the margin of victory was 10 points yielding a 6-6 in SB8 and a 7-7 in SB17 and SB30.

One thing the person who runs the pool usually tells people who draw a 2, 5, or 8 is that there can be a 2 point safety which can produce weird numbers. That is WRONG. There have been 9 safeties in Super Bowl history. Here is a list of the final scores by the teams that scored one.


How have the unusual numbers happened?

The games ending in 2 were twice caused by scoring more 6 TD than FG, once due to a kicker missing 2 PAT, and once because of a 2 point conversion.

The games ending in 5 were caused 4 times by a team scoring 5 more TD than FG and once due to a 2pt conversion.

The games ending in 8 were caused 5 times by a team scoring 4 more TD than FG and once due to a 2pt conversion.

The games ending in 9 were caused 3 times by missing PAT, twice by a safety, once by a made 2pt conversion, once by failing two 2pt conversions, and once by a team scoring 7 TD.

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